DBPapers
DOI: 10.5593/SGEM2015/B13/S5.137

THE NEW METHOD OF SHORT-TERM EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION (RADON ANOMALY ON SAN-ANDREAS FAULT)

P. Martyshko, V.Pyankov, A. Rublev
Friday 7 August 2015 by Libadmin2015

References: 15th International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference SGEM 2015, www.sgem.org, SGEM2015 Conference Proceedings, ISBN 978-619-7105-33-9 / ISSN 1314-2704, June 18-24, 2015, Book1 Vol. 3, 1059-1066 pp

ABSTRACT
The methods of short-term earthquake prediction and some results of mathematical modeling of the processes of fracturing in lithosphere are developed. General scientific methodology of short-term prediction is formulated including two sufficient conditions increasing probability of the forecast of seismic event according to author’s opinion. The implementations of factor analysis method and artificial neural networks for variations of radon are proposed.

Keywords: Earthquake prediction, variations of radon, factor analysis, artificial neural networks.